Pokémon Pull Rates& Pack Odds
Every other pack simulator hides its odds. Ours are printed on this page in full, and every card inside is a real Pokémon card at the price it is selling for today. We price them from over a million real pack openings we record ourselves. Rip one free to see for yourself.
Rip a pack
20 packs in 100 come back worth the $5 entry or more.
- $40 or more
- 0%
- $15 to $40
- 0%
- $7.50 to $15
- 0%
- $5 to $7.50
- 0%
- $3.50 to $5
- 0%
- Under $3.50
- 0%
Average return 99%, biggest single card $617.60. Our pack, our odds, published in full.
Nothing yet.
The winning card is decided before the reel moves. Every card is a real Pokémon card at its live market price, and the odds above are the whole story: 70% common, 10% uncommon, 7% rare, 6% epic, 5% mythic, 2% grail. The spin cannot change it. No money involved.
| Band | Chance | Starter $5 | Rookie $10 | Trainer $25 | Explorer $50 | Challenger $100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 70.0% | $1 to $3.50 | $2 to $7 | $5 to $17.50 | $10 to $35 | $20 to $70 |
| Uncommon | 10.0% | $3.50 to $5 | $7 to $10 | $17.50 to $25 | $35 to $50 | $70 to $100 |
| Rare | 7.0% | $5 to $7.50 | $10 to $15 | $25 to $37.50 | $50 to $75 | $100 to $150 |
| Epic | 6.0% | $7.50 to $15 | $15 to $30 | $37.50 to $75 | $75 to $150 | $150 to $300 |
| Mythic | 5.0% | $15 to $40 | $30 to $80 | $75 to $200 | $150 to $400 | $300 to $800 |
| Grail | 2.0% | $40 to $625 | $80 to $1250 | $200 to $3125 | $400 to $6250 | $800 to $12500 |
- Pulls recorded
- in the last 24 hours
- Sites watched
- public feeds, around the clock
- Big hits
- 10x the pack price or more
- Card value pulled
- what came out, not what went in
Updating on its own
Just pulled
Gyarados-GX
43s ago · Pokemon Starter Pack
Dendra
46s ago · Pokemon Starter Pack
Glaceon VMAX
51s ago · Pokemon Mini Pack
Mew
52s ago · Pokemon Premium Pack
Wigglytuff
54s ago · Novice Pack
Eelektrik
55s ago · Pokemon Starter Pack
Eelektrik
55s ago · Pokemon Starter Pack
Poochyena
55s ago · Pokemon Dollar Pack
The difference
Simulator or the real thing?
A simulator
- Odds are invented by whoever built it
- Nothing is won and nothing is lost
- Resets the moment you refresh
- Tells you nothing about any real site
What PackSpy shows
- Real packs, bought with real money
- Every pull recorded, hits and misses alike
- Read straight from each site's public feed
- Checkable against the site that published it
A simulator is fake by design. It deals you cards from made-up odds, nobody wins or loses anything, and the whole thing resets whenever you refresh the page. That's the appeal: it's free and completely harmless. What you're watching on PackSpy is the opposite. These are real packs, bought with real money, opened live by real people. The pulls actually happened. There's no script and no fake odds table, just what came out of the pack. The trade-off is the one built into the hobby itself: opening packs is gambling, the odds favor the house, and on average people lose money doing it. We're not telling you to do it. We're just showing you it happening, for free, so you don't have to.
Keep going
What to look at next
Compare the sites
All the pack sites we track, ranked on sell-back, cash-out and how openly they publish their odds.
Open →Most valuable cards
The cards worth chasing, ranked by live PSA 10 value, plus the all-time auction records.
Open →Live pull feed
Which site is paying out hardest right now, updated as the pulls land.
Open →Questions people ask
Pack opening simulators, answered
Is PackSpy a pack opening simulator?
No. We don't deal cards or simulate anything. PackSpy is an independent tracker that records the public pull feeds from real pack opening sites. What you see happened for real, we just log it and show it to you.
Are pack opening sites real, or is it all rigged?
The sites we track sell real packs and open them live on camera or through a public feed. That doesn't make them a good bet. Pack opening is gambling: the odds are set by the site, most rips lose money, and you should only spend what you're fine losing. You must be 18 or older. We track the public pull data ourselves and are not affiliated with any site we cover, so nothing here is an endorsement.
Does it cost anything to watch on PackSpy?
Watching is free. You don't need an account to see the live feed or the pull history. If you decide you want to open real packs yourself, our homepage tracks which sites are currently paying out the most, so you can compare before spending anything.
18+. Everything above is a record of what other people pulled, not an invitation to chase it. Opening packs is paid entertainment with random outcomes and on average players lose money. See our affiliate disclosure.