Pokémon card index

Not on this data. The basket of 206 cards is up 445% over 14 months, and the rise is broad rather than narrow: 8,107 of the 11,023 cards we price are worth more than a year ago. That is the honest answer today, and it is not a forecast. 2,721 cards did fall, so a crash is not required for your card to lose money.

A 445% year looks like a good investment and also like what a bubble looks like from the inside, and nothing in this data separates the two. What the data does say plainly: the average card rose far faster than the middle card, 525% against 445%, which means the gains are concentrated at the expensive end. If you are buying $30 cards, the index above is not describing your outcome.

A fixed basket: the 206 cards that had a PSA 10 price in every one of the last 14 months. Fixed matters. If you take a median across every card we hold each month instead, it reads $58 to $98, but the number of cards in that median climbs from 6,146 to 8,048 over the same window. That is our collector adding cards, not the market moving.

Because they disagree, and the disagreement is the story. The median card is up 445% and the average card is up 525%. When the average pulls away from the median like that, a small number of expensive cards are doing most of the work. The chart rebases both to 100 so you can see the gap open.

Real completed sales, refreshed daily, not asking prices. The index is computed once a night from the price history we hold for every card, and the page reads that result rather than recomputing it.