Prismatic Evolutions is the set people ask about most, and it is also the clearest example of something the pull rate pages never mention. The odds barely matter here. The distribution of value does, and this set has the most lopsided distribution of any modern set we price.
First, the honest bit about the odds
The Pokémon Company does not publish per-card pull rates for English sets, and never has. Every percentage you will find for Prismatic Evolutions was produced by collectors opening cases and counting. Good counts are genuinely useful. They are still estimates built on a few hundred packs, which is why no two pages agree, and why the same card is quoted at one in 90 on one site and one in 150 on another.
This is a one-card set
We hold live prices for 201 Prismatic Evolutions cards. Sort them by what a PSA 10 fetches and the shape is startling: Umbreon ex sits at the top on its own, worth several times the card below it, and the curve falls away fast after that.
| Card | Raw | PSA 10 |
|---|---|---|
| Umbreon ex #161 | $1.19k | $5.34k |
| Sylveon ex #156 | $476.89 | $1.49k |
| Espeon ex #155 | $299.45 | $1.11k |
| Vaporeon ex #149 | $269.50 | $1.00k |
| Leafeon ex #144 | $260.82 | $788.19 |
| Glaceon ex #150 | $257.14 | $686.92 |
| Roaring Moon ex #162 | $160.75 | $641.54 |
| Flareon ex #146 | $202.70 | $628.50 |
| Jolteon ex #153 | $160.00 | $600.00 |
| Eevee ex #167 | $150.00 | $527.29 |
Compare that to a set like Ascended Heroes, where the top four cards are all within about a thousand dollars of each other. Prismatic Evolutions is not that. It is one card and a supporting cast, which has two consequences worth understanding before you buy a box.
The first is that your expected return from opening is dominated by a single low-probability event. Most boxes will not contain the card that makes the set famous, and the cards they do contain will not add up to the price of the box. The second is that the single is easy to price and easy to buy. You can look up exactly what Umbreon ex costs, in the grade you want, today.
The grading gap on this set is unusually wide
Look along the raw and PSA 10 columns above. On the top cards of this set the graded price is several times the raw one, wider than on most sets we track. That is what happens when a card is both expensive and heavily collected: the market pays a large premium for certainty, and centring on the alternate arts is unforgiving.
It also means a raw copy is a gamble of its own. You are not buying a PSA 10, you are buying a lottery ticket on the grade, and the odds of that are as unpublished as the pull rates.
What we can actually measure
We cannot measure sealed retail odds, because we do not open sealed retail. What we do measure is every pull on the pack opening sites, from their own live feeds, hit or miss, with what was spent against what came back. That is real data on what these cards do at volume, even though the packs are the sites' own rather than boosters off a shelf. It is the closest thing to a measured rate anybody publishes.
Worth reading next: how the sets compare on value, and when a card like Umbreon is worth grading. Our pull rates page has the measured site figures.
Questions people also ask
What are the Prismatic Evolutions god pack odds?
There is no official figure. God packs are rare enough that any per-set estimate comes from very few sightings, so treat the numbers you find as anecdotes rather than rates.
How many packs are in a Prismatic Evolutions booster bundle?
Bundles and special collections vary by product, and the count is always printed on the box. Compare on cost per pack rather than on the headline price, because the products are not the same size.
Is Prismatic Evolutions worth opening?
Its value is concentrated in one card more than any set we price, so most boxes land well below the box price. If you want that one card, price the single first.
The short version
There are no official Prismatic Evolutions pull rates and there never have been. What there is, clearly and checkably, is one card carrying the entire set. Know what that card costs before you decide whether chasing it beats buying it.