Pokémon 151 and Paldean Fates are both nostalgia plays, and nostalgia sets do not follow the usual arc. Understanding that is worth more than any pull rate estimate you will find for either.
The odds, as ever, are not published
The Pokémon Company has never released per-card pull rates for an English set. Every figure you find for either of these sets is a collector counting case openings, and the counts disagree with each other because they are small.
Nostalgia sets do not behave like normal sets
A normal set peaks at release and sags as supply lands. A nostalgia set keeps finding new buyers: people returning to the hobby, parents buying for children, collectors who only care about the original 151. Demand does not fall off the same cliff.
The catch is that the same logic applies to supply. Sets that keep selling get printed longer, and long print runs are the enemy of scarcity. So nostalgia sets tend to hold a solid floor without ever becoming genuinely rare. Steady, not explosive.
Pokémon 151, at today's prices
We hold 489 priced cards for 151, which is the deepest coverage of any set on this site.
| Card | Raw | PSA 10 |
|---|---|---|
| Mew Ex [Ultra Ball League] #151 | $7.76k | $15.20k |
| Gengar #94 | $472.50 | $8.00k |
| Psyduck #54 | $162.40 | $5.34k |
| Dragonite #149 | $152.50 | $3.01k |
| Pikachu #172 | $1.85k | $2.89k |
| Charizard ex #199 | $336.00 | $1.40k |
| Mew EX #151 | $338.85 | $1.39k |
| Gengar [Master Ball] #94 | $560.00 | $1.03k |
Paldean Fates, at today's prices
And 162 for Paldean Fates.
| Card | Raw | PSA 10 |
|---|---|---|
| Mew ex #232 | $812.02 | $2.91k |
| Charizard ex #234 | $257.74 | $758.74 |
| Pikachu #131 | $76.01 | $687.00 |
| Ditto #201 | $39.74 | $439.99 |
| Mimikyu #160 | $45.76 | $405.00 |
| Snorlax #202 | $50.51 | $361.84 |
| Gardevoir ex #233 | $160.00 | $358.25 |
| Tandemaus #209 | $27.71 | $354.69 |
What to take from the two tables
Both sets lean on Mew, which tells you most of what you need to know about how nostalgia pricing works. The card people want is the card they remember, and it is worth a multiple of cards that are just as hard to pull.
Look at the raw to PSA 10 gaps too. On older, heavily printed sets that gap is often wider than on new releases, because condition separates copies when supply does not. That is an argument for grading a genuinely clean copy of a top card here, and an argument against grading anything mid-table.
Next: how these two sit against the newer sets, and the grading test, which matters more on older sets.
Questions people also ask
Are Japanese Pokemon 151 pull rates different?
Japanese and English print runs are separate products with separate configurations, so figures for one do not transfer to the other. Neither publishes official odds.
How many packs are in a Pokemon 151 booster box?
The English booster box holds 36 packs. Japanese boxes are configured differently and state their own count.
Which is better to open, 151 or Paldean Fates?
Both lean on Mew and both are nostalgia sets with long print runs. Compare the two live tables above on their top card and their middle rows.
The short version
There are no official pull rates for Pokémon 151 or Paldean Fates. Both are nostalgia sets with a solid floor and a ceiling held down by long print runs. The tables above are what their cards are worth today, and they update on their own.